XRP Tests 18-Month Support: Can $1 Hold?

XRP Price Prediction: Ripple’s Token Hovers Near Key Support as Peers Rally

XRP is currently trading at $1.006, a 3.2% decrease on the day, teetering just above the crucial $1 psychological level. This price action stands in contrast to its market peers, which have seen rallies while XRP struggles to gain momentum. The current situation suggests a potential breakout is imminent, with the direction of this move determining whether XRP is poised for a significant upward trend or a further decline.

Analyst Roadmaps and Key Levels

Analyst EGRAG CRYPTO has outlined a roadmap for XRP, indicating that a sustained move towards $3.00-$3.60 would require the token to first overcome resistance at $1.30-$1.60 and then $1.96, validating a “Wave 3” scenario. On the downside, immediate support is identified at $1.00-$0.95, followed by $0.75, and then a more significant zone between $0.60-$0.52 if bearish pressures intensify.

Meanwhile, analyst That Martini Guy has highlighted an unusual divergence: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana experienced bounces last week, while XRP declined by approximately 5%, despite ongoing inflows into related exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Technical Indicators and Market Indecision

XRP recently recorded its lowest weekly close in nearly two years at $1.029. The asset is currently trading within a narrow range, between $1.0038 and $1.0218, a tight band that signals market indecision rather than strong directional conviction. TradingView data points to the next resistance level at $1.06, with potential upside targets at $1.35 and $1.64 should momentum shift favorably. CoinGecko data corroborates this, showing XRP’s 24-hour low and high prices closely aligned with its current trading price, indicating a market that is coiled rather than trending.

Bull, Base, and Bear Scenarios

The bullish outlook for XRP hinges on its ability to reclaim $1.06 and then break through the $1.30-$1.60 resistance zone, which EGRAG CRYPTO suggests would confirm the breaking of Wave 1’s high and validate a potential Wave 3 move towards $3.00-$3.60.

The base case scenario anticipates XRP trading sideways between $0.95 and $1.06 as the market awaits a significant catalyst. The bearish scenario, however, posits that the $1.00 support level will fail, leading to a price decline towards $0.75 and potentially the $0.60-$0.52 zone.

Fundamental Strength vs.

Price Action

Despite a strong fundamental case, driven by Ripple’s ETF demand and increasing Real World Asset (RWA) activity on the XRP Ledger—which has seen tokenized assets surge to $4.06 billion across 373 assets from just $73 million in January 2025—price confirmation remains elusive. For XRP holders, the prolonged period of price stagnation around the $1 mark has been a source of frustration.

The anticipation of a Wave 3 breakout is now viewed as a multi-week bet rather than a short-term trade. This has led some investors to reallocate capital towards earlier-stage infrastructure projects with potentially higher upside, where market capitalization is not yet a limiting factor.

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable. Always conduct independent research before making any investment decisions.

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