XRP Surges 70%: AIs Divided on Ripple’s Bear Market End

XRP Surges 70% in Days, But AI Models Urge Caution on Bear Market End

The cryptocurrency market has experienced a dramatic shift, with XRP leading a significant rebound after weeks of decline. The token, which had fallen to $1.00 and briefly dipped below that level for the first time in 21 months, experienced a swift recovery starting Wednesday afternoon.

Market-Wide Revival Ignites XRP Surge

Bitcoin’s rally on Wednesday appeared to galvanize the broader altcoin market, and XRP was no exception. The token surged from $1.00 to $1.42 within a day or two, reaching a multi-month high. This upward momentum continued through Saturday morning, pushing XRP to $1.70, a remarkable 70% increase in just a few days.

Rejection and Lingering Questions

However, the rally faced a sharp rejection at the $1.70 mark, and XRP has since retreated to around $1.40. This volatility has reignited the debate about whether the bear market has concluded. Despite the recent gains, XRP remains in positive territory on weekly and monthly charts.

AI Insights: A “Huge” Move, But Not Necessarily an End

Artificial intelligence models offered nuanced perspectives on the recent price action. ChatGPT acknowledged the “huge” move and its impact on the short-term outlook but cautioned that it doesn’t definitively signal the end of the bear cycle. The AI assigned a 55% probability that the $0.98-$0.99 low was the market bottom, a figure lower than its 70% confidence in Bitcoin’s July low. ChatGPT highlighted a 45% chance that the current surge is merely a relief rally within a larger bear market, noting that the $1.60-$1.70 range represents a significant long-term trend resistance, not a conclusive break.

Grok’s Broader Perspective

Grok provided a wider view, emphasizing that even with the recent spike, XRP remains approximately 60% below its all-time high from July 2025. While acknowledging the recovery is “not trivial,” Grok pointed out that XRP is still significantly down year-to-date. On a positive note, Grok observed the return of large market participants, or “whales,” who have been acquiring millions of XRP tokens in the past week.

Gemini’s Technical Analysis and Hurdles

Gemini also adopted a cautious stance, identifying key technical hurdles that XRP must overcome for a sustained reversal. The 33-month exponential moving average (EMA), situated around $1.60, has proven to be a significant obstacle, with XRP failing to break above it thus far.

However, Gemini noted a positive development: XRP appears to have reclaimed the 200-day EMA, which is currently around $1.34. A sustained weekly close above this level could signal a shift from a bearish to a bullish narrative.

Gemini’s conclusion, mirroring that of ChatGPT and Grok, is that the recent rally demonstrates “heavy demand still exists at key psychological levels.” Nevertheless, the AI stated that until XRP can decisively break and hold above the 200-day EMA and the $1.60 structural resistance, the move will be technically classified as a “relief rally” within a broader consolidation phase.