Tag: Neutral

  • XRP Price Under Pressure? Researcher Explains Lack of Surge

    XRP Price Under Pressure? Researcher Explains Lack of Surge

    XRP Price Suppression Alleged by Apex Crypto Researcher

    Jesse, a researcher at Apex Crypto, has ignited debate within the cryptocurrency community by asserting that XRP’s price is being deliberately suppressed. His central piece of evidence is a 2021 Citibank document. Jesse points to an initial phrasing in the document, “Regulated Internet of Value,” which he claims was later altered to “Regulated Liability Network.” He argues this semantic shift was intended to obscure a direct connection to Ripple.

    The historical performance of XRP lends a degree of plausibility to Jesse’s theory. The digital asset surged to $3.84 during the 2018 bull market and reached $3.60 earlier in the current cycle. However, in the intervening decade, XRP largely traded sideways, failing to achieve the significant gains seen by Bitcoin.

    Given Ripple’s established institutional connections and the ambitious goals of its Interledger Protocol, XRP’s stagnant price trajectory raises questions. Citibank’s Tony McLaughlin has described the Regulated Liability Network as a shared ledger framework designed for tokenized bank deposits, a concept that bears a structural resemblance to Ripple’s long-term vision.

    Jesse’s argument posits a causal link: Citibank’s 2021 document, initially referencing the “Regulated Internet of Value,” directly echoed Ripple’s “Internet of Value” thesis and the Interledger Protocol. He contends that the subsequent re-branding to “Regulated Liability Network” served to distance the concept from Ripple.

    This narrative extends further. McLaughlin has publicly equated the Regulated Liability Network with the shared ledger concept. Concurrently, the Bank for International Settlements has explored a unified ledger architecture that could potentially supersede correspondent banking systems and eventually replace SWIFT as the primary mechanism for cross-border settlements.

    Jesse’s reasoning suggests that if XRP or a derivative of Ripple’s protocol were to underpin such an infrastructure, institutional players would actively avoid a highly volatile asset.

    However, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has publicly stated that XRP’s multi-billion dollar daily trading volume renders it too liquid for any single entity to manipulate. Ripple CTO David Schwartz has also noted that XRP’s price movements generally align with those of other large-cap altcoins.

    Notably, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s extensive investigation, preceding its 2020 enforcement action against Ripple, did not uncover any evidence of price manipulation by the company. Jesse’s case relies on his interpretation of institutional documents and circumstantial links, rather than concrete evidence of coordinated suppression, such as disclosed trading records or regulatory filings.

    While Jesse acknowledges that his hypothesis remains unproven, the crypto research community is increasingly scrutinizing the parallels between institutional settlement infrastructure and XRP’s decade of subdued price action.

  • DOGE Whales Buy Dip Amid 14-Month Low

    DOGE Whales Buy Dip Amid 14-Month Low

    Dogecoin Whales Accumulate Amidst Market Downturn

    The leading meme coin, Dogecoin (DOGE), experienced a significant downturn alongside the broader market at the close of the previous business week, and its subsequent recovery has yet to inspire confidence. However, this market correction has provided an opportunity for large investors, often referred to as “whales,” to increase their holdings at reduced prices.

    Data from Santiment, shared by prominent analyst Ali Martinez, indicates that these whales have acquired over 200 million DOGE tokens in the past week alone. A chart accompanying the analysis illustrates a consistent rise in DOGE holdings by these large investors over the last several days, reaching a total of 18.84 billion coins.

    Last week, DOGE saw a notable decline, particularly on Friday, falling below the $0.08 mark for the first time since February 2025. As of press time, the cryptocurrency had recovered slightly to $0.084, but it remains significantly depressed, trading 89% below its all-time high achieved in May 2021.

    Martinez has also recently cautioned that DOGE could be facing a more substantial decline if specific market indicators align. He pointed out that the meme coin’s price action has historically followed multi-year consolidation patterns, characterized by extended periods of compressed volatility and supply redistribution before the commencement of larger market cycles.

    Based on several on-chain metrics, Martinez suggested that DOGE could potentially drop to $0.058 if the current support level at $0.081 fails to hold.

    Meanwhile, data from SoSoValue reveals a lack of interest from ETF investors in the largest meme coin. Since May 19, there has been only one day of reported inflows, with all other days showing no significant activity. The three funds tracking Dogecoin’s performance have collectively attracted a modest $12.44 million since their launch in late November 2025.

  • Bybit XRP Leverage Liquidations Surge as Binance Holds Firm

    Bybit XRP Leverage Liquidations Surge as Binance Holds Firm

    XRP Struggles Near $1.15 Amidst Divergent Market Signals

    XRP is currently navigating a challenging market environment, hovering around the $1.15 mark as fear and uncertainty dominate investor sentiment. Holders are keenly observing whether this level will solidify as support or signal a temporary reprieve before further declines. The cryptocurrency’s price is under considerable pressure, and a recent analysis by CryptoQuant has highlighted a significant divergence in derivatives activity between two of the world’s largest XRP trading platforms during the latest sell-off.

    Derivatives Reset on Bybit Contrasts with Binance Stability

    The recent market downturn triggered a forced deleveraging event on Bybit, a phenomenon that the data suggests is impossible to ignore. XRP’s open interest on Bybit plummeted to approximately $181 million, its lowest point since February 13, when it stood near $180 million. This current figure represents a substantial 36% decrease from Bybit’s recent peak of $283 million recorded on May 22. This indicates that roughly one-third of the leveraged XRP positions on one of the market’s most active derivatives venues were liquidated within a compressed timeframe, a clear signature of forced exits rather than strategic position management.

    In stark contrast, Binance presents a different narrative. XRP’s open interest on Binance remained relatively stable, hovering near $246 million following the same price decline. This represents a mere 2.4% dip from its recent high of $252 million, which was recorded on June 2. While Bybit experienced a significant contraction in open interest, Binance largely maintained its positioning. This stark divergence between two major trading venues, witnessing the same asset and the same price drop, yet exhibiting completely opposite derivative responses, forms the crux of the CryptoQuant analysis. The implications of this divergence for the health of the current XRP market structure at the $1.15 level are the most critical analytical questions arising from the data.

    Exchange Activity Points to Next Market Move

    Liquidation data further corroborates the implications of the open interest divergence, confirming that XRP’s decline was not solely driven by spot selling. Forced exits from leveraged long positions significantly amplified and accelerated the downward price movement. Multiple liquidation events exceeded $3.5 million, with long liquidations consistently dominating the activity.

    Futures volume data provides crucial context regarding the scale of these transactions. On June 5, Binance recorded approximately $1.85 billion in XRP futures volume. Bybit contributed $727 million, OKX $429 million, and Bitget $423 million, totaling $3.43 billion across these four venues in a single trading session. This indicates that the derivatives market was highly active during the price decline, processing an enormous volume of both forced and voluntary position changes.

    The subsequent recovery from a low of $1.055 back above $1.14, an rebound exceeding 8%, suggests that the sell-off included a significant leverage flush component rather than a complete breakdown in underlying demand. When forced liquidations contribute substantially to a price decline, the market often sees a recovery once these exits are complete and genuine buyers begin to emerge.

    The remaining market structure is notably distinct. Bybit has undergone a sharp deleveraging, with its open interest reset to February levels, indicating a clearing of fragile positions. Binance, however, remains near its recent highs, with its positioning largely intact. Consequently, the next significant development in XRP derivatives is anticipated to originate from Binance, as it holds the most residual exposure and has not yet experienced the reset that Bybit underwent during the recent sell-off.

    XRP Holds Near $1.15 After Losing Key Support

    XRP is currently trading around the $1.15 level, having experienced a prolonged decline that has significantly eroded the gains made in the latter half of 2025. The current market chart depicts an asset under pressure, yet also approaching a critical inflection point after testing its lowest levels of the year.

    The dominant trend observed on the 3-day timeframe is a persistent sequence of lower highs and lower lows, a pattern that began after XRP peaked near $3.50. Each subsequent recovery attempt has been met with resistance below the previous swing high, reinforcing the notion that sellers continue to dictate the broader trend. More recently, XRP lost the crucial $1.25-$1.30 support area, which precipitated another downward move towards the psychologically significant $1.10 region.

    From a structural standpoint, the current price zone is noteworthy as it aligns with the lows established during the first quarter’s correction. Buyers have repeatedly defended this area, preventing a complete breakdown despite multiple tests. However, the rebound attempts have been characterized by weakness, suggesting that demand remains constrained.

    Moving averages continue to reflect bearish conditions, with XRP trading below its 50-period, 100-period, and 200-period moving averages. The 50-period average is currently acting as dynamic resistance near the $1.40 level. Until the price reclaims this level, any upward movement is likely to be considered a technical correction rather than a trend reversal. The critical support zone remains between $1.05 and $1.10. A decisive breach of this area could expose XRP to a deeper retracement, potentially towards the $0.90-$1.00 region. Conversely, reclaiming $1.30 and subsequently $1.40 would serve as the initial indication that buyers are beginning to regain control after months of sustained weakness.

  • SpaceX Tokenized Product Launches on Bybit

    SpaceX Tokenized Product Launches on Bybit

    Bybit Rolls Out IPO Express with Automatic Execution for SpaceX Tokenized Shares

    Bybit users who subscribe to the exchange’s new IPO Express product and secure an allocation may find their orders executed automatically. If the final offering price of the tokenized shares lands within 20% of the indicative price agreed upon during subscription, the trade will proceed without requiring further user confirmation.

    Launched on June 7, IPO Express allows eligible Bybit users to subscribe to tokenized representations of initial public offering (IPO) shares at the offering price. SpaceX is the inaugural listing, available under the token ticker SPCX. Subscription windows are open until June 11, with spot trading slated to commence on June 12.

    Understanding the Token’s Value

    The IPO Express product is built on Payward Services’ xStocks platform. Payward, the parent company of Kraken, is also facilitating SpaceX IPO access for retail clients in over 110 countries via the same infrastructure. Each SPCX token is backed 1:1 by actual SpaceX equity held in regulated broker-dealer custody. This distinguishes it from synthetic pre-IPO perpetual contracts offered by platforms like Hyperliquid and Binance, where no underlying shares are exchanged.

    However, owning SPCX tokens does not confer shareholder status in SpaceX. According to Bybit’s terms, these tokens do not grant voting rights, dividend rights, or any direct legal or beneficial ownership of SpaceX equity. Holders have no claim against SpaceX itself. Their entitlement is limited to exposure to the economic performance of the share price.

    Access Restrictions

    Eligibility for IPO Express is subject to two main restrictions. Firstly, the product is exclusively available to Bybit users who have achieved VIP or PRO tier status, a designation typically based on trading volume or asset holdings, and who have completed identity verification. Secondly, the offering is completely unavailable to residents of the European Economic Area (EEA), which encompasses all 27 EU member states, along with Iceland, Liechtenstein, and Norway. Bybit has stated it does not hold the necessary licenses or authorizations under MiCA or any applicable EEA financial services regulations for this product.

    This exclusion is noteworthy, particularly as SpaceX’s IPO has already barred investors in mainland China and Hong Kong due to U.S. International Traffic in Arms Regulations. The tokenized access route, presented as an alternative, carries its own set of limitations. The significant demand for SpaceX’s IPO, reportedly around $150 billion against a $75 billion raise, means that even qualifying VIP-tier subscribers may only receive partial allocations.

    Funds submitted for subscription are frozen from the moment an order is placed until the results are announced, or for up to five business days if the event is canceled.

    Future Prospects for IPO Express

    Bybit has positioned IPO Express as a recurring platform rather than a one-off product. Reports suggest that future major IPOs, potentially including those of OpenAI and Anthropic, could see similar tokenized access products launched through Bybit, Kraken, and other platforms utilizing the xStocks infrastructure.

  • XRP Capitulates as Profit-to-Loss Ratio Plummets

    XRP Capitulates as Profit-to-Loss Ratio Plummets

    On-Chain Metrics Signal “Intense Capitulation” for XRP as Price Attempts Rebound

    Market intelligence platform Glassnode has highlighted concerning on-chain metrics for XRP, suggesting weakening momentum and widespread capitulation as the cryptocurrency attempts to recover from recent lows.

    Profit/Loss Ratio Hits Multi-Year Low

    On Tuesday, Glassnode researchers revealed that XRP’s 90-day moving average of its Realized Profit-to-Loss Ratio has fallen to 0.38, its lowest point since 2024. This indicates that for every dollar of losses realized in the market, only 38 cents in profit are being taken. This marks a stark reversal from a 2025 peak where the ratio reached 50, signifying that profit-takers significantly outnumbered those selling at a loss. Glassnode affirmed that such a low ratio is a “hallmark of intense capitulation,” suggesting most participants are exiting their positions at a loss.

    Network Activity Declines Sharply

    Further compounding the concerns, Glassnode pointed to a significant drop in network activity. The 90-day average of total transaction fees paid on the XRP network has plummeted by 91.5%, from 5,900 XRP in February 2025 to just 500 XRP. Glassnode stated this decline “reflects a near-total contraction in organic transaction demand on the network since the speculative peak,” rather than a simple fee market adjustment. The decrease in these indicators suggests a weakening of investor confidence and a subdued speculative appetite.

    Is XRP’s Bottom Near?

    Over the past two weeks, XRP’s price has declined by nearly 15%, reaching its lowest levels since November 2024. Analyst ChartNerd noted that while XRP’s bear markets have historically lasted between 400-790 days with drops of 85-96%, the current correction has lasted approximately 350 days with a 71% retracement from July highs. However, ChartNerd observed that the duration and depth of these bear markets are diminishing, suggesting that a historical bottom could be approaching by the end of the year.

    The cryptocurrency’s close below its 200-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) last week could also signal an impending bottom. Historically, a structural bottom has formed between 8 and 29 weeks after the first weekly close below this SMA, implying that XRP could begin forming its bottom in the coming months if past patterns repeat.

    Meanwhile, market watcher Ali Martinez suggested that XRP might be mirroring a pattern observed since 2018, potentially approaching its largest buying zone in eight years. Martinez highlighted that touches of a rising trendline have historically marked major turning points for XRP, sending it back towards the $3 resistance. With XRP currently approaching this trendline, support is identified between $0.70 and $0.90. A hold of this zone could make a rally back to $3 a “realistic scenario.” Should XRP break above the eight-year resistance around $3.30, Martinez concluded that the next macro target could be between $8 and $13.

  • XRP Tests Key Support Amidst Bull-Bear Showdown

    XRP Tests Key Support Amidst Bull-Bear Showdown

    XRP Tests Crucial Support Level, Signaling Potential Trend Shift

    XRP is currently testing a significant macroeconomic support level that could prove pivotal in determining its next market trend. With momentum hanging in the balance, a strong rebound could herald a recovery, while continued weakness might pave the way for further declines.

    XRP Finds Firm Ground at Critical 0.786 Fibonacci Support

    In a recent market assessment, cryptocurrency analyst CasiTrades observed that XRP has reached its key 0.786 macroeconomic support level, trading around $1.09 on Coinbase. The daily chart currently validates this support, as price action has so far respected this critical technical indicator.

    The immediate focus for traders now shifts to how the market responds to this positioning. CasiTrades has identified $1.19 and $1.27 as the primary resistance levels to watch. As long as XRP remains capped by these levels, the broader correction is expected to persist, leaving the possibility of a decline towards the $0.90 support zone, aligned with the 0.854 Fibonacci level.

    Conversely, a shift in market sentiment could invalidate the bearish outlook. If XRP demonstrates substantial buying pressure and manages to break through these established resistances, it would suggest the market is forming a new trend rather than consolidating for another downward movement.

    Ultimately, this moment represents one of the most critical junctures of the entire correction phase. With the major support level officially tested, the coming days will be essential in dictating the asset’s long-term trajectory.

    XRP Enters a Critical Macro Decision Zone

    According to market analyst EGRAG CRYPTO, XRP is presently situated within a crucial macroeconomic decision zone. The path forward is defined by specific technical thresholds that require sustained strength to confirm a trend.

    Specifically, a monthly candle close above $1.40 would indicate that the bottom was firmly established at $1.05. Reclaiming the $1.61–$1.65 range would signify the official commencement of a bullish recovery. A definitive break above $1.70 would offer even stronger confirmation of this momentum shift.

    If the price can successfully hold its ground, a double-bottom formation becomes a distinct possibility, setting the stage for a more robust rally. However, if XRP fails to maintain this support and loses its current momentum, the technical setup warns of a high likelihood of retesting the $0.80 level.

    While the potential for upside remains contingent on overcoming these key resistance hurdles, the downside risk persists if the current support falters. Traders are advised to remain cautious, as the resolution of this macroeconomic decision zone will determine whether the asset initiates a new bullish cycle or enters a deeper retracement.

  • House Committee Hearing Sees Pushback on Crypto Tax Bills

    House Committee Hearing Sees Pushback on Crypto Tax Bills

    House Crypto Tax Hearing Highlights Partisan Divide, Industry Urges Expansion

    A House hearing on six cryptocurrency tax bills on Tuesday revealed a significant lack of bipartisan consensus, with industry leaders advocating for broader legislation while Democrats expressed reservations about the pace of the process.

    Behind the scenes, the looming prospect of Democrats regaining control of the House in November’s midterm elections is a key factor. Republicans, seeking to advance their crypto agenda while they hold power in Congress and the White House, are pushing for swift passage of these bills. Democrats, conversely, are beginning to frame crypto legislation as an important but not necessarily immediate priority.

    “There is a sense of urgency, but there’s also a sense of, ‘are we acting too quick without knowing what we’re doing?’” Representative John Larson (D-CT) stated during the House Ways & Means Committee’s hearing. “There’s far more questions than there seem to be answers.”

    The committee’s top Democrat, Representative Richard Neal (D-MA), indicated to reporters that a bipartisan agreement on crypto tax policy is unlikely before the midterm elections, according to Punchbowl News. “I’m aligned with that goal—eventually,” Neal remarked at the hearing regarding his interest in passing bipartisan crypto tax legislation.

    A central point of contention between the parties emerged Tuesday concerning the tax treatment of cryptocurrency rewards generated through staking and mining. One of the six Republican-authored bills proposes exempting such rewards from an individual’s taxable income. Currently, staking rewards and newly mined crypto are considered income at the time of receipt, irrespective of whether they are subsequently sold or converted to fiat currency.

    Democrats, including those generally supportive of the crypto industry, voiced concerns that deferring taxes on these rewards could make digital assets more appealing than traditional investments like stocks and bonds, potentially leading to significant shifts in financial markets.

    “It seems to be a real sticking point in all this, and it seems that maybe we’re at an impasse,” Representative Mike Thompson (D-CA) commented on the tax policy surrounding crypto staking and mining. Thompson has previously voted in favor of both the stablecoin-focused GENIUS Act and the more comprehensive Clarity Act, which aims to formally legalize most cryptocurrency activities in the United States.

    Meanwhile, cryptocurrency executives who testified urged lawmakers to broaden certain provisions within the proposed legislation, particularly regarding de minimis exemptions for crypto payments. As currently drafted, one bill would establish a $10 de minimis tax exemption for crypto network transaction fees, commonly known as gas fees. It would also eliminate reporting requirements for stablecoin transactions, treating dollar-pegged tokens as equivalent to U.S. dollars for tax purposes.

    Lawrence Zlatkin, Coinbase’s vice president of tax, advocated for extending the de minimis exemption to encompass all digital assets. “A consumer who uses Bitcoin to buy a pair of jeans still has to calculate and report a capital gain,” Zlatkin argued. “That’s not good tax policy. Americans shouldn’t need an accountant to buy jeans.”

    With the Clarity Act facing a tight deadline in the Senate as the November midterms approach, crypto policy advocates had hoped that progress on crypto taxes could serve as a consolation prize if a broader market structure bill fails to pass before year’s end.

  • Treasury Stablecoin Plan Faces Stark Warning

    Treasury Stablecoin Plan Faces Stark Warning

    Stablecoin Rule Needs Refinement, Policy Center and VC Firm Argue

    The Hyperliquid Policy Center (HPC) and venture capital firm Paradigm have jointly submitted comments to the U.S. Treasury, calling for revisions to a proposed stablecoin compliance rule linked to the GENIUS Act. The rule aims to establish anti-money laundering (AML) and sanctions requirements for “permitted payment stablecoin issuers” (PPSIs), a category intended to foster innovation in payment stablecoins while managing illicit finance risks.

    Narrower Compliance, Less Burden

    While not opposing the framework’s overarching goals, Paradigm and HPC contend that critical aspects of the proposal require clearer definitions. They are particularly concerned that compliance obligations could inadvertently extend beyond the scope and intent of the GENIUS Act.

    A central point of contention is how PPSI duties should apply in the secondary market, where issuers lack direct relationships with counterparties. The firms argue that while Congress intended for PPSIs to conduct due diligence on their direct customers, it did not intend to mandate additional diligence for secondary market trading.

    Drawing an analogy to traditional banking, Paradigm and HPC stated that regulated institutions, after performing Know Your Customer (KYC) checks upon fund entry, are not expected to monitor every subsequent transaction after cash withdrawal. Similarly, they believe that decentralized peer-to-peer stablecoin transfers, and other digital assets, should primarily require KYC at regulated on-ramps and off-ramps, with compliance efforts focused where direct relationships exist.

    The organizations warned that an alternative approach could compel PPSIs to file a high volume of low-value suspicious activity reports (SARs). This, they cautioned, would generate “noisy” reports with false positives, increasing costs for both PPSIs and the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) without clear public benefit.

    Hyperliquid Policy Center Urges Clarification

    The submitted comments also address the proposed rule’s definition and assignment of obligations related to “lawful orders.” Paradigm and HPC noted that the proposal defines “lawful order” by referencing the GENIUS Act’s definition of “person,” which in turn dictates who might be required to develop technological capabilities.

    They argued that the current draft could be interpreted too broadly, potentially encompassing developers of distributed ledger protocols, decentralized self-custodial interfaces, and other technologies that Congress explicitly excluded from the GENIUS Act’s definition of a “digital asset service provider.”

    The firms asserted that this outcome would contradict congressional intent and recommended a clarification in the final rule to explicitly exempt certain entities and technologies from lawful order requirements.

    Failing to provide such clarity, according to Paradigm and HPC, could unintentionally impose lawful order obligations on every validator on networks like Ethereum, Hyperliquid, Solana, and various Layer 2 systems that process transactions involving PPSI-issued stablecoins. They predicted that this could lead to U.S. validator stakes moving offshore, the relocation of U.S. blockbuilding operations, and a decline in the U.S. share of the validator base, undermining both the GENIUS Act’s onshoring objectives and broader U.S. interests.

  • XRP Price Forecast: $10 by 2027 or Below $1?

    XRP Price Forecast: $10 by 2027 or Below $1?

    Conservative XRP Outlook

    Market expert Sam Daodu has outlined three potential scenarios for XRP’s trajectory by 2027, factoring in the CLARITY Act, the XRP Ledger (XRPL), and exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

    Under Daodu’s most conservative projection, XRP could trade between $3 and $5 by 2027. This forecast assumes the CLARITY Act progresses and that demand for XRP via ETFs grows steadily, rather than experiencing sharp surges. Daodu suggests this measured progress would be sufficient to return XRP to its previous peak levels within two years, without necessitating a significant, sudden market breakout.

    In this context, Standard Chartered’s $7 XRP target for 2027 is considered optimistic, with the $3 to $5 range presented as the most plausible outcome given current market conditions, provided no major destabilizing events occur.

    A More Bullish Case

    A more optimistic scenario pushes XRP’s potential price range to $7 to $10. For XRP to reach the higher end of this forecast, demand would need to shift decisively in its favor.

    Daodu’s report identifies a key catalyst: banks may begin to hold and settle transactions directly in XRP, rather than solely relying on stablecoins that utilize the XRPL network. Additionally, ETF inflows would likely need to exceed initial expectations, reaching “several billion dollars.”

    If both utility and buying pressure strengthen concurrently, Daodu posits that XRP would possess the necessary combination of functionality and market demand to surpass its previous highs and maintain upward momentum. This bullish pathway aligns with Bitwise’s more optimistic prediction, which places XRP in the $9 to $10 range. This suggests that 2027 could be the year the altcoin’s market value reflects the strength of its underlying infrastructure.

    Daodu frames this scenario as one where adoption and capital inflows mutually reinforce each other, transitioning the market from its current infrastructure-led phase to a more robust demand-driven cycle.

    A Real Chance Of Breaking Below $1

    Daodu also presents a downside scenario, forecasting XRP trading below $1.50 by 2027. This negative outlook hinges less on technological developments and more on whether market sentiment remains subdued for an extended period.

    A significant risk factor is the potential for the CLARITY Act to stall beyond the August recess. Concurrently, broader market conditions could continue to exert downward pressure on risk assets. Ripple’s steady monthly supply pattern is also noted as unlikely to provide independent demand catalysts if buyers remain hesitant.

    In this bearish scenario, Daodu anticipates XRP spending most of 2027 between $1 and $1.50. He also acknowledges a realistic possibility of XRP falling below the $1 mark if selling pressure persists rather than dissipates.

    However, the market may not need to wait until 2027 to witness XRP trading below $1, as it is currently priced around $1.12. While this represents a recovery from a weekend dip to $1.05, concerns remain that this critical support level could be breached in the near term.

  • XRP at Critical Juncture: $1.40 Surge or $0.80 Rebound

    XRP at Critical Juncture: $1.40 Surge or $0.80 Rebound

    XRP is poised at a critical juncture, with analysts suggesting the upcoming monthly candle close will dictate whether the cryptocurrency establishes a double bottom or declines towards $0.80.

    Key Levels Under Scrutiny

    Analyst EGRAG CRYPTO has identified what they term a “macro decision zone” for XRP. While the token has shown some resilience, recovering from a 19-month low of $1.05 last week, it has yet to breach levels that would instill significant confidence in bullish sentiment.

    According to EGRAG, a monthly close above $1.40 would serve as confirmation that the $1.05 low marked the bottom. However, the analyst believes that a genuine bullish recovery would only commence with a reclaim of the $1.61 to $1.65 range, with a break above $1.70 providing further validation. As of now, none of these key resistance levels have been reached.

    Downside Potential and Support Gaps

    EGRAG also outlined a bearish scenario, positing that a loss of momentum could send XRP back down to $0.80. Notably, the analyst did not identify any intermediate support levels between the current price and that target should the structure break down.

    “Hold ground then → double bottom possible,” EGRAG stated. “Lose momentum then → $0.80 retest likely.”

    Earlier, EGRAG had noted XRP reaching $1.1860 and “building momentum for the second push,” setting a short-term target of $1.19 to $1.25. The analyst had cautioned that a drop below $1.14 would open the door to a retest of $1.10.

    Complementary Technical Analysis

    Market observer CasiTrades offered a complementary perspective, observing that XRP had “perfectly” touched a significant .786 macro Fibonacci support at $1.09 on Coinbase. This crypto trader also pinpointed $1.19 and $1.27 as resistance zones, suggesting that failure to overcome these levels could lead to a deeper decline toward the $0.90 area.

    Conversely, if XRP manages to break through both resistance levels, it could signal the formation of a new trend rather than a precursor to another downward wave.

    Long-Term Indicators and Market Context

    Some traders are looking beyond immediate price action. ChartNerd pointed out that XRP has closed below its 200-week simple moving average, a development that has historically preceded cycle lows.

    At the time of reporting, XRP, the world’s sixth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, had seen a modest gain of just over 1% in the preceding 24 hours. This uptick followed news that Japan’s SBI Bank had introduced a program allowing customers to exchange deposit interest for Bitcoin, Ethereum, or XRP.

    Despite this recent movement, XRP remained down by more than 8% over the past seven days, underperforming the broader cryptocurrency market, which had experienced a decline of approximately 5.4% in the same period. XRP has also fallen over 18% in the last month and nearly 49% year-on-year, trading 68% below its all-time high reached in July 2025.

    However, the current price decline is not entirely viewed negatively. On-chain analytics platform Santiment, utilizing its 30-day MVRV metric, indicated that XRP is situated in a “fair buy” zone, suggesting it could be an opportune time for long-term investors to begin accumulating.

    Looking further ahead, ChartNerd has projected potential Fibonacci extension targets for XRP at $8, $13, and $27, contingent on the formation of a proper cycle bottom before the end of the year.