Tag: Regulation & Policy

  • Gensler Backs States on Prediction Market Rules

    Gensler Backs States on Prediction Market Rules

    Gensler Argues Dodd-Frank Did Not Authorize Nationwide Sports Wagering

    Gary Gensler, former chair of both the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), filed an amicus brief late Thursday with the Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals, asserting that Congress did not grant the CFTC authority over nationwide sports wagering when it enacted the Dodd-Frank Act in 2010. Gensler contends that state gaming laws remain in effect.

    Tribal Nations and Gaming Associations Support Ohio

    Thirty Native American tribes and 11 tribal associations have submitted an amicus curiae brief in support of Ohio in the Sixth Circuit’s appeal concerning prediction markets. This filing comes after federal district judge Sarah Morrison denied Kalshi’s request for a preliminary injunction in its challenge to state cease-and-desist orders. Gaming attorney and prediction market expert Daniel Wallach noted the significance of this broad support for Ohio’s position.

    Diverse Coalition Backs State Authority

    Gensler’s filing joins a notable group of amici curiae supporting the State of Ohio, including the Indian Gaming Association, the American Gaming Association, and Better Markets. Notably, the Utah Attorney General, representing a state where sports betting is entirely outlawed, was among the co-signers alongside Nevada.

    Gensler’s Shift from Crypto Enforcement to State Gaming Support

    As SEC chair, Gensler spearheaded an aggressive campaign against the cryptocurrency industry, initiating approximately 100 enforcement actions and characterizing the sector as one “built up around noncompliance.” He is now aligning himself with states in opposition to a market that has received CFTC endorsement.

    Dodd-Frank’s Original Intent

    The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, enacted in 2010 following the 2008 financial crisis to regulate swaps and curb risky derivatives, is central to the current legal dispute. Gensler, who chaired the CFTC from 2009 to 2014 and was involved in its negotiation, stated that the law was designed to address the financial crash, not to authorize sports wagering.

    “Millions of people were out of work. Millions of people had lost their homes,” Gensler said in a CNBC interview, referring to legislation focused on credit-default and interest-rate swaps. He recalled his extensive testimony before Congress, emphasizing that no lawmakers suggested granting his agency authority over sports betting.

    The brief further argues that no drafters of Dodd-Frank “was attempting to put a curve ball by the Senate Majority Leader to legalize a national sports-betting regime.” The filing invokes the court’s principle that Congress does not “hide elephants in mouseholes,” suggesting that preempting a $165-billion-a-year industry would not be concealed within “a subpart of a definition.”

    Opposition to CFTC’s Proposed Rule

    Gensler has also voiced opposition to the CFTC’s extensive 267-page proposal, which would permit betting on sports outcomes but prohibit contracts related to war, assassination, and certain injury- or referee-related wagers. When asked if the proposal represented progress, Gensler responded negatively, asserting that the agency is attempting to reverse a rule the CFTC unanimously adopted around 2011 that prohibited contracts on “assassination, war, terrorism, gaming or unlawful acts.”

    Citing the CFTC’s reduced workforce and concerns about youth gambling and addiction, Gensler argued that these issues are best managed at the state level, stating, “Let the states do it.”

    Federal vs. State Jurisdiction Battle Intensifies

    Sixteen states are currently engaged in legal proceedings with prediction market platforms. Minnesota has banned them outright, making it a felony to operate or advertise such services. The CFTC has taken the unusual step of suing six states to defend what it asserts is its exclusive jurisdiction.

    President Donald Trump has publicly supported the federal government’s stance, deeming the issue “critically important” and urging regulators to maintain control as states increasingly treat the sector as gambling. The administration has reinforced this position in court, with the CFTC and the Department of Justice jointly suing Minnesota shortly after Governor Tim Walz signed the state’s prediction market ban into law.

    Daniel Wallach highlighted that the tribal amici brief underscores the breadth of Kalshi’s legal argument. The company bases its claim of exclusive federal jurisdiction not only on Dodd-Frank but also on the Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000 and the CFTC Act of 1974. Wallach noted that these earlier statutes are sufficiently old to qualify as “long-extant statutes” under the major-questions doctrine, which typically requires explicit congressional authorization for significant expansions of agency authority.

    Decrypt has reached out to the CFTC and Kalshi for comment.

  • Japan XRP ETF Listing Nears

    Japan XRP ETF Listing Nears

    Japan’s Crypto Tax Reform Boosts XRP Outlook

    Japan’s legislative body has taken a significant step that could provide a substantial tailwind for XRP, with the cryptocurrency’s price showing signs of retesting a key resistance level. The nation’s Lower House has passed a pivotal crypto tax bill, poised to dramatically reduce the maximum tax rate on digital asset gains from approximately 55% to a flat 20%. Furthermore, the bill reclassifies cryptocurrencies as financial instruments under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act.

    Path to Enactment and Future Implications

    The legislation is now advancing to the Upper House, where approval is widely expected. If enacted, the new regulatory framework, which incorporates provisions for insider trading rules and disclosure requirements, is slated to take effect for tax changes by 2028. This development could pave the way for Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) approvals as early as 2027.

    A tweet from an XRP-focused account highlighted Japan’s potential adoption of the XRP Ledger within its financial system, suggesting an official designation of XRP as a financial asset by 2027. The tweet also referenced SBI Japan’s public disclosure of using XRP for international payments since 2021 and its plans to issue XRP bonds and ETFs in Tokyo.

    SBI Holdings’ Proactive Moves

    SBI Holdings has already moved to capitalize on this evolving landscape, submitting applications to Japan’s Financial Services Agency (FSA) for a spot Bitcoin-XRP ETF and a hybrid Digital Gold-Crypto ETF. The firm is targeting assets under management (AUM) of up to $32 billion within three years. This strategic shift, moving crypto from a payment instrument to a regulated financial product, marks a departure from typical regulatory developments.

    XRP Price Action and Technical Analysis

    XRP has recently tested the $1.15 resistance zone on two occasions, experiencing pullbacks each time before recovering. This pattern often signals an impending breakout or an exhaustion sell-off. The cryptocurrency is currently trading around $1.14, with immediate support identified at $1.1, a level that saw a notable bounce on the 4-hour chart following news of the SBI ETF applications.

    An increase in trading volume during each retest of the $1.15 level heightens the possibility of a bullish breakout, particularly if the price manages to close a daily candle above this mark. This level has acted as a significant ceiling, and a decisive breach could open the path to the next key target at $1.20.

    Analyst Projections and Market Drivers

    Analysts have offered ambitious price targets for XRP. Zack Rector has projected a near-term price of $5, with a longer-term outlook of $15 by September. Similarly, YouTube analyst James Crypto Space suggests that a modified 2017 fractal pattern could lead to a price of $9 by early September. These projections, however, are contingent on sustained institutional inflows rather than solely retail interest.

    The regulatory environment in Japan is considered the primary bullish catalyst underpinning these forecasts. For shorter-term trading, the support range between $1 and $1.05 is a critical level for traders to monitor.

    Strategic Considerations for Investors

    While XRP at the $1 level presents a compelling trading opportunity, it is important to note that it is already a substantial asset valued at approximately $70 billion. The macro and regulatory tailwinds that could further propel its growth may take several months to fully materialize. Investors seeking to capitalize on the ETF catalyst at current price levels are essentially factoring in news with a projected 2027 timeline. Early-stage infrastructure plays, conversely, offer a distinct risk-reward profile.

    LiquidChain: An Infrastructure Play

    LiquidChain, an L3 infrastructure project, is positioning itself as a cross-chain liquidity layer, aiming to consolidate liquidity from Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana into a unified execution environment. Its core architecture features a Unified Liquidity Layer, Single-Step Execution, Verifiable Settlement, and a Deploy-Once Architecture that allows developers to access multiple ecosystems without extensive redevelopment.

    The project’s presale has raised $836,000, with the current price of its $LIQUID token at $0.01469. For traders observing the impact of the Japan ETF cycle on institutional crypto flows, researching LiquidChain as an infrastructure-level investment in a multi-chain future may prove worthwhile.

  • Japan’s Crypto Regulation Boosts XRP

    Japan’s Crypto Regulation Boosts XRP

    Japan Rewrites Crypto Rules, Potentially Boosting XRP

    Japan’s parliament has passed landmark legislation that reclassifies cryptocurrencies as financial instruments, a move analysts suggest could unlock significant institutional demand for assets like XRP. The bill, approved by the House of Representatives, shifts crypto regulation from the Payment Services Act to the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act (FIEA), the same framework that governs traditional securities such as stocks and bonds.

    Regulatory Shift and Institutional Interest

    The Financial Services Agency in Japan has reported over 14 million open crypto accounts, with a substantial portion held by individuals earning under ¥7 million ($43,600) annually. This new regulatory framework introduces measures akin to stock markets, including insider-trading bans and mandatory disclosure rules for crypto projects. Crucially, it paves the way for the creation of crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

    While the new rules are set to take effect in 2027, XRP is seen as being in a prime position to benefit sooner. The digital asset is already integrated into Japanese banking infrastructure through pilot programs linked with SBI.

    XRP Price Outlook

    XRP is currently trading around $1.10, having retreated from a resistance zone near $1.50 that capped its performance in the first quarter. Technical analysis suggests a potential rebound toward $2.00, with more significant resistance anticipated around $2.40. Trading volume has been consolidating, indicating a potential for a swift price movement.

    Analysts note that a critical support level lies between the current price and $1. A breach below this zone could undermine the near-term bullish outlook, while holding above it would maintain the current positive structure.

    Potential Upside and Investment Considerations

    With the regulatory developments in Japan and a constructive macroeconomic environment, some analysts project realistic upside targets for XRP between $1.50 and $2.50. A flat 20% capital gains tax rate for qualified Japanese investors could further enhance XRP’s attractiveness to institutional investors.

    However, research into XRP’s price dynamics suggests that regulatory clarity alone may not trigger immediate price surges. Significant price movements typically occur when capital begins to flow into the market.

    While the Japanese regulatory catalyst is considered significant, the current trading environment for XRP, with considerable resistance levels, may not offer the most asymmetric risk-reward profile for traders seeking substantial gains. Investors looking for higher multiples are reportedly exploring earlier-stage projects.

    Emerging Infrastructure Plays

    One such area of interest is in infrastructure projects, particularly those addressing cross-chain liquidity issues. LiquidChain ($LIQUID), a Layer 3 infrastructure project, aims to solve the problem of fragmented liquidity across ecosystems like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, enabling more efficient communication and execution.

    LiquidChain’s platform is designed to fuse liquidity from these major blockchains into a unified execution environment, featuring Single-Step Execution and Verifiable Settlement as key technical innovations. This “Deploy-Once Architecture” is intended to reduce the overhead associated with multi-chain deployments, which currently fragment developer attention and capital.

    The LiquidChain presale is ongoing, with $LIQUID priced at $0.01468 and over $835,000 raised to date. Investors are advised to conduct their own research into LiquidChain before its next price stage.

  • Bithumb CEO Faces Bribery Probe Over Hiring Scandal

    Bithumb CEO Faces Bribery Probe Over Hiring Scandal

    Bithumb CEO Under Bribery Investigation in South Korea Over Lawmaker’s Son Hiring

    South Korean police are investigating Bithumb CEO Lee Jae-won over allegations of bribery connected to the hiring of individuals with ties to independent lawmaker Kim Byung-ki.

    According to Yonhap News, the Seoul Metropolitan Police Agency’s Public Crime Investigation Unit is examining claims that Lee approved the hiring of Kim’s second son following a direct employment request from the lawmaker.

    The investigation originated from statements made by a former aide to Kim, who had previously leveled other accusations against the lawmaker. This aide informed the police that Kim met with Lee at a Seoul restaurant in November 2024 and solicited the hiring of his son.

    Investigators suspect the alleged hiring may be linked to Kim’s actions while serving on the National Assembly’s Political Affairs Committee. Authorities believe Kim may have focused his legislative efforts on criticizing alleged monopolistic practices by Dunamu, the operator of rival cryptocurrency exchange Upbit, in exchange for his son securing employment at Bithumb.

    Earlier this month, police designated Lee as a bribery suspect during a second search warrant operation targeting Bithumb’s headquarters in Seoul’s Gangnam district and several associated locations. During an initial raid in February, investigators had already identified Kim as a suspect in connection with alleged preferential hiring practices related to his son’s recruitment, while Bithumb was listed as a witness.

    Police are currently reviewing materials seized during these searches and are expected to question individuals involved in the hiring process to determine their awareness of any job solicitation efforts.

    Beyond this hiring controversy, Bithumb has recently been involved in several other legal and compliance-related disputes. In May, a South Korean court issued a temporary injunction blocking a six-month partial business suspension imposed on the cryptocurrency exchange by the Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU).

    The court’s decision has halted the sanctions pending a final ruling on Bithumb’s legal challenge against the financial regulator. The FIU had accused the exchange of approximately 6.65 million violations of financial regulations, including failures in customer identity verification and transaction monitoring. Regulators also imposed a fine of 36.8 billion won on Bithumb and issued warnings to several company officials.

    In April, Bithumb initiated legal proceedings to freeze 7 Bitcoin that remained unaccounted for following a significant payout error during a promotional event. Due to a system input mistake, the exchange inadvertently distributed Bitcoin instead of Korean won to users. While most of the funds were quickly recovered, some recipients allegedly refused to return the remaining assets, prompting Bithumb to seek a provisional seizure.

  • Banks Urge Broader Stablecoin Regulation

    Banks Urge Broader Stablecoin Regulation

    Banking Groups Urge Clarity on Stablecoin Oversight

    U.S. banking trade groups are urging federal regulators to clarify which entities are responsible for overseeing stablecoin transactions after their initial issuance. This push marks a new front in a policy debate that has seen cryptocurrency firms warn that stringent anti-money laundering (AML) rules could drive regulated dollar-backed tokens out of the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector.

    In two joint comment letters released Wednesday, the Bank Policy Institute (BPI) and The Clearing House argued that current regulations do not impose sufficient obligations on DeFi firms, certain digital asset custodians, and exchanges. The groups contend that most illicit activity occurs in the secondary market, making oversight of this stage critical as regulators develop stablecoin AML rules.

    Calls for a Flexible AML Regime

    The banking organizations emphasized the need for a “flexibility first” approach in their letters. They suggested that regulators should allow banks to concentrate resources on the most pressing threats, moving away from a “check-the-box compliance” mentality and addressing the existing gaps in stablecoin secondary markets.

    The BPI and The Clearing House specifically noted in their stablecoin letter that the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) and the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) “correctly recognize” that the “majority of illicit finance involving payment stablecoins occurs on the secondary market.” They also pointed out that permitted payment stablecoin issuers “may have less information on secondary market transactions than on primary market transactions.”

    Stablecoins are digital tokens designed to maintain a stable value, typically pegged to a fiat currency like the U.S. dollar. Issuers are responsible for creating and redeeming these tokens and managing the reserves that back them. Under legislation like the GENIUS Act, certain issuers can qualify as “permitted payment stablecoin issuers,” authorizing them to operate in the U.S.

    Industry Divided on Oversight Responsibilities

    Earlier this week, crypto investment firm Paradigm and the Hyperliquid Policy Center issued a warning that broad AML rules could displace regulated dollar tokens from DeFi. They argued that stablecoin issuers should not be held liable for activities they cannot monitor or control once tokens enter secondary markets.

    The differing perspectives from the banking and crypto industries highlight a growing tension over how to regulate stablecoin activity post-issuance without making issuers directly responsible for transactions beyond their control.

    Charles d’Haussy, CEO of the dYdX Foundation, commented that both industry letters overlook existing compliance tools embedded within major stablecoins and utilized by DeFi platforms.

    “What is missing from both submissions is a basic technical fact: AML monitoring in stablecoins does not stop at issuance,” d’Haussy told Decrypt. He explained that every transfer of USDC or USDT passes through the issuer’s master smart contract, where freeze and blacklist controls operate in real-time. Furthermore, he noted that most leading DeFi platforms conduct on-chain trade screening, suggesting the regulatory gap is “narrower than either letter acknowledges.”

    D’Haussy believes the primary enforcement challenge lies with “offshore exchanges and unhosted wallets operating outside FATF’s Travel Rule framework, not the compliant DeFi infrastructure that is already doing the work.”

    Beyond the technical aspects of monitoring, broader oversight could facilitate the scaling of stablecoin markets by “narrowing the gap” between crypto and traditional finance, according to Dominick John, an analyst at Zeus Research. For DeFi firms, custodians, and exchanges, this could translate to enhanced Know Your Customer (KYC) checks and transaction controls, potentially leading to “clearer rules, stronger trust, [and] bigger institutional flows.”

  • Hungary to Decriminalize Crypto Trading Post-Orban

    Hungary to Decriminalize Crypto Trading Post-Orban

    Hungary Moves to Decriminalize Cryptocurrency Trading Following Orban’s Exit

    Nearly two months after pivotal elections that saw Viktor Orban’s 16-year tenure conclude and signaled a clear shift toward the West, Hungary’s new government is taking steps to dismantle controversial policies of the former administration, potentially benefiting the local cryptocurrency sector.

    The previous government, under Orban, introduced stringent regulations on cryptocurrency trading in 2025. These rules mandated approved validation for transactions converting digital assets to traditional currency and for crypto-to-crypto exchanges. More controversially, the regulations included the possibility of prison sentences for certain violations. At the time, a Forbes report indicated that transactions exceeding $140,000 (50 million forints) could result in up to three years imprisonment, with larger transactions over $1.4 million (500 million forints) potentially leading to five-year sentences.

    These strict measures forced many popular trading platforms to either exit the country or significantly restrict services for Hungarian residents. While the European Union launched an investigation into whether these restrictions adhered to its regulations, local trading volumes had already plummeted prior to the change in administration earlier this year.

    A new report from Bloomberg indicates that the current government has decided to remove the threat of jail time and criminal charges associated with using unauthorized exchanges or conducting non-compliant crypto-to-crypto and crypto-to-fiat transactions.

    Anita Kobol, a government spokeswoman, stated that Hungary will abolish the requirement for transaction-level “validation certificates” and intends to align its local market with the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework.

  • IMF Warns Nepal on Crypto Amid Rising Usage

    IMF Warns Nepal on Crypto Amid Rising Usage

    Crypto Adoption Thrives in Nepal Despite Official Ban, IMF Warns

    KATHMANDU, Nepal – Despite a nationwide ban on cryptocurrency transactions, adoption of digital assets is growing in Nepal, prompting the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to urge authorities to enhance monitoring of the sector to safeguard financial stability and prevent illicit financial flows.

    In a report released Tuesday, the IMF noted a “marked growth” in stablecoin and unbacked crypto asset flows between 2019 and 2024. While acknowledging that adoption remains modest compared to regional peers, the Fund emphasized that the trend “warrants close monitoring” given the legal prohibition on crypto activities.

    This finding was part of the IMF’s 2026 Article IV Consultation, published as its Executive Board concluded its seventh and final review of Nepal’s Extended Credit Facility on June 5. Nepal officially banned all cryptocurrency transactions in 2021, with the central bank declaring trading, mining, and related activities illegal.

    IMF staff calculations indicate that crypto inflows, which were negligible in 2020, surged to over $2.6 billion in 2021, briefly representing more than 13% of Nepal’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). By 2023, these volumes had decreased to approximately 4% of GDP, before climbing back to around 8% in 2024, with stablecoins constituting the larger and expanding portion of these flows.

    Regarding cross-border flows, the IMF estimated Nepal’s crypto engagement at around 5% of GDP in early 2025. This places Nepal ahead of countries like Bangladesh and Myanmar but significantly behind Vietnam, which stands at approximately 26%.

    The IMF advocates for a regulatory framework that aligns with international standards. Such a framework, the Fund stated, “would help safeguard financial stability and integrity and consumer protection, while limiting circumvention of capital controls or large-scale deposit outflows.” Additionally, the IMF pressed Nepal to finalize its action plan with the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) and be removed from the FATF’s grey list.

    Musheer Ahmed, founder and managing director of Finstep Asia, suggested that the debate between banning and regulating crypto stems from a fundamental misunderstanding. “The technology is not regulated. The use cases may be regulated,” Ahmed explained, noting that countries with strict crypto bans are still exploring tokenization for real-world assets and traditional finance. He argued that the persistent use cases, such as trading and remittances, are precisely those that merit regulation.

    “On the trading front, it does make sense to bring in regulations” for consumer and investor protection, Ahmed said. He also highlighted the need for regulators to balance oversight of cross-border payment systems with existing concerns about monetary risks and capital controls.

    The IMF has consistently urged governments to regulate the cryptocurrency sector. A notable instance involved El Salvador, which scaled back its Bitcoin experiment in December 2024 to secure a $1.4 billion fund facility. The IMF maintains that El Salvador ceased its Bitcoin purchases, with a spokesperson previously stating that “the total amount of government-owned Bitcoin has not increased and that the increase in the Bitcoin Reserve Fund corresponds to movements across government wallets.”

    However, El Salvador’s President Nayib Bukele has offered a different account, asserting that the nation continues to purchase one Bitcoin daily and tweeting, “No, it’s not stopping…..it won’t stop now, and it won’t stop in the future.” Blockchain data indicates a daily growth of approximately 1 BTC in El Salvador’s wallets, though analysts caution that public records cannot definitively confirm whether these are new acquisitions or older coins being moved through exchanges.

    Ahmed believes the El Salvador experiment has had limited impact. While it brought the country attention in the virtual asset space and attracted crypto capital, its limited adoption suggests Bitcoin is primarily used as an asset rather than a currency. He pointed to payment rails, particularly stablecoin transactions, as the area demonstrating significant traction.

    The IMF’s warning on crypto comes as Nepal is still recovering from widespread protests in September, which led to the ousting of the Oli government and the installation of an interim administration. The unrest was triggered by the government’s ban on 26 social media platforms, prompting large-scale demonstrations by young Nepalis. The social media ban, in turn, saw a surge in the use of decentralized messaging apps like Bitchat, which operates without internet connectivity. China later ordered the app removed from its App Store due to concerns about its potential for “social mobilization.”

    The IMF plans to continue its engagement with Nepal through post-financing assessments and annual Article IV consultations, with cryptocurrency oversight now a key agenda item.

  • Japan to Regulate Crypto Like Stocks, Paving Way for ETFs

    Japan to Regulate Crypto Like Stocks, Paving Way for ETFs

    Japan to Regulate Crypto Like Stocks, Potentially Paving Way for ETFs

    Japan’s parliament is on the verge of enacting legislation that will bring cryptocurrencies under the same regulatory framework as traditional stocks. The bill cleared the lower house of Parliament today and is anticipated to become law next year, following approval by the upper house.

    The proposed legislation could classify cryptocurrencies as financial instruments, subjecting assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum to more stringent trading rules. Concurrently, it may offer a reduced tax burden for investors. This development follows a previous government approval of a bill that already granted crypto the status of financial instruments, signaling an effort to bring digital assets under closer oversight, akin to securities.

    A key aspect of this legislative reform is its potential impact on taxation. Historically, cryptocurrency gains in Japan have been taxed as miscellaneous income, with rates potentially reaching as high as 55%. Under the new framework, these gains could be taxed at a rate closer to 20%, aligning with the tax applied to stock market profits. This shift is expected to significantly enhance the attractiveness of Japan’s cryptocurrency market for both retail and institutional investors, particularly in contrast to the current system, which industry participants have long criticized for being overly restrictive.

    Furthermore, the move could facilitate the introduction of new regulated products, such as spot cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Reports indicate that the bill may help clear the path for ETFs, offering investors a regulated avenue to gain exposure to cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin without the need for direct ownership.

    However, the proposed legislation is not solely focused on market expansion. By integrating cryptocurrencies into the regulatory sphere governing stocks, Japan is also establishing stricter safeguards for trading activities. This includes enhanced controls over insider trading, more robust disclosure requirements, and broader restrictions.

    These measures are designed to align the cryptocurrency market more closely with Japan’s existing financial market structure, where investor protection and market transparency are paramount. The next crucial step will be the upper house’s approval of the bill and the subsequent detailed definition of regulations before the anticipated implementation next year.

  • Anthropic CEO Cautions on AI Power Amidst New Release

    Anthropic CEO Cautions on AI Power Amidst New Release

    Governments Must Act on AI Safety, Anthropic CEO Urges

    Dario Amodei, CEO of AI firm Anthropic, asserted on Wednesday that governments can no longer afford to merely study the issue of artificial intelligence regulation. He called for the United States to implement binding safety requirements for its most powerful AI models.

    In an essay titled “Policy on the AI Exponential,” Amodei argued that current transparency mandates are insufficient and advocated for mandatory regulation of “frontier AI” systems.

    “AI is advancing at a lightning pace—in only four years, AI models have gone from barely being able to write a coherent line of code to writing most of the code at major AI companies,” Amodei wrote.

    Amodei’s essay coincides with Anthropic’s expansion of access to Claude Mythos, its restricted frontier AI model designed for cybersecurity organizations and government partners. The company launched Mythos 5 on Tuesday. Researchers, including those at the UK’s AI Security Institute, have reportedly found that the model can autonomously execute complex cyber attacks.

    Amodei stated that his regulatory proposal draws inspiration from the framework used by the Federal Aviation Administration.

    “Frontier AI models, like airplanes, should be required to go through technical testing and auditing, and their release should be blocked or reversed as a threat to public safety if they do not meet high standards of safety,” he wrote. “I am grateful to see the Trump administration’s Executive Order move incrementally towards a greater role for government in AI, though Anthropic’s proposal recommends even further action.”

    A Proposed Regulatory Framework

    Under Amodei’s proposed framework, advanced AI models would undergo mandatory third-party testing. The government would be empowered to halt unsafe deployments and require companies to secure model weights, conduct safety assessments, and report significant incidents. He also urged governments to prepare for AI-driven job displacement and advancements in drug development, to limit the use of surveillance and autonomous weapons in domestic law enforcement, and to enhance cooperation among democratic nations on critical AI technologies.

    “First, enduring job displacement is undesirable and dangerous, and we should do everything we can to minimize or prevent it, not to bring it about,” Amodei wrote, referencing past warnings he has issued regarding job displacement. “Second, any response to AI-driven job displacement needs to address both the need to provide for everyone economically, and the need for people to find meaning, purpose, and agency.”

    Public Release and Industry Scrutiny

    The essay was released in the same week Anthropic launched Claude Fable 5, a public-facing version of Claude Mythos 5. This version redirects certain requests related to cybersecurity, biology, chemistry, and AI development to the less capable Claude Opus 4.8 as a safeguard against misuse. However, the launch has drawn criticism from developers and researchers. Concerns have been raised about Fable’s higher token usage, mandatory 30-day data retention policies, and safeguards that can diminish the model’s capabilities without user notification.

    Amodei’s call for policy changes in AI development comes as Anthropic prepares for a potential public offering. Earlier this month, the company filed paperwork with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission for an initial public offering, following a reported $65 billion Series H funding round that valued the company at a reported $965 billion.

    Debate Over AI Risks and Regulation

    While Amodei has framed the issue as a race between technological progress and public policy, critics have questioned whether calls for stricter AI regulation truly serve the public interest. In April, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman accused Anthropic of employing “fear-based marketing” to promote Claude Mythos. Altman suggested that concerns about advanced AI could be used to justify concentrating control of the technology within a small group of companies.

    “You can justify that in a lot of different ways, and some of it’s real, like there are going to be legitimate safety concerns,” Altman stated. “But if what you want is like ‘we need control of AI, just us, because we’re the trustworthy people’, I think fear-based marketing is probably the most effective way to justify that.”

    Amodei rejected the notion that concerns about advanced AI are primarily a public relations issue. He contended that fears surrounding the technology stem from legitimate concerns that require addressing.

    “People are worried about AI because they correctly perceive that its risks are real, not because AI CEOs have been insufficiently Panglossian,” he said, referencing the character from Voltaire’s “Candide” known for his unshakeable optimism.

    “I believe it is my duty as an AI leader to continue to be transparent about these risks, and public concern in response to this transparency constitutes democratic accountability working as it should,” Amodei concluded.

  • Coinbase Asks Congress to Treat Stablecoins as Cash, Lower Crypto Taxes

    Coinbase Asks Congress to Treat Stablecoins as Cash, Lower Crypto Taxes

    Coinbase VP Urges Lawmakers to Simplify Crypto Tax Rules

    Coinbase’s Vice President of Tax, Lawrence Zlatkin, urged lawmakers on June 9 to reconsider the requirement for Americans to calculate capital gains on every stablecoin transaction or blockchain fee. His testimony came before the House Ways and Means Committee during a hearing focused on six proposed bills designed to modernize the U.S. tax code for digital assets, addressing issues from mining and staking taxation to charitable donations and broker reporting.

    Seeking Clarity and Parity for Digital Assets

    The House Ways and Means Committee stated its intention to examine legislation aimed at bringing “clarity, parity, and administrability” to the digital asset landscape. Zlatkin, representing Coinbase, argued that current tax regulations compel consumers to meticulously track minor gains and losses on routine cryptocurrency transactions. He specifically advocated for federally regulated stablecoins pegged to the U.S. dollar to be treated equivalently for tax purposes, given their design to maintain a one-to-one value with the dollar. Zlatkin contended that forcing users to calculate cost basis for every stablecoin expenditure generates excessive paperwork without yielding significant tax revenue.

    Proposals for De Minimis Exemptions and Fee Waivers

    Furthermore, Zlatkin expressed support for a proposal by Congressman Rudy Yakym to waive tax reporting requirements for transaction fees, often referred to as gas fees, up to $10. He also called on Congress to establish a broader de minimis exemption for small cryptocurrency purchases. Under Coinbase’s proposed framework, individuals making low-value transactions with Bitcoin (BTC) or other non-stablecoin cryptocurrencies would be relieved of the obligation to calculate taxable gains for each purchase. This comes after Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong faced accusations in March of lobbying against a BTC tax exemption, claims he vehemently denied, stating he had personally advocated for a Bitcoin de minimis rule.

    Support for Mining and Staking Tax Deferral

    Regarding mining and staking, Coinbase endorsed a bill introduced by Congressman Mike Carey. If enacted, this legislation would allow validators to defer taxes on block rewards until those assets are sold, rather than upon receipt. Zlatkin drew an analogy, stating, “A farmer is never taxed when a bushel of wheat sprouts from the ground; they are taxed when they harvest that crop, bring it to market, and execute a sale.”

    Addressing Wash-Sale Rules and Implementation Challenges

    Finally, Zlatkin reiterated Coinbase’s stance on wash-sale rules, which disallow investors from claiming a tax loss if they repurchase the same asset within 30 days of selling it. While Coinbase agrees these rules should apply to crypto, the company highlighted a significant practical hurdle: the 24/7 nature of crypto trading across diverse exchanges, liquidity pools, and self-custody wallets. Currently, there is no unified data infrastructure to effectively track wash-sale violations in real-time across this fragmented environment. Zlatkin emphasized the need for an implementation runway of at least 18 to 24 months before such rules take effect, allowing for the development of necessary software infrastructure. He warned that immediate compliance mandates would likely result in widespread reporting errors and an increase in IRS audits.